Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.29
All matches
—
Al Khaleej — Al Hazm, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Khaleej
1.2DDLLD
Al Hazm
1.8LWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%26%38%
Al Khaleej36%Draw26%Al Hazm38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Khaleej2.74—
XDraw3.88—
2Al Hazm2.65—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl KhaleejAl HazmCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners12.011.011.5
Cards2.01.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al KhaleejAl Hazm
Al Khaleej Saihat 36%, Al Hazm 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Al Khaleej Saihat 36%Draw 26%Al Hazm 38%
1st half
36 · 40 · 24
2nd half
29 · 39 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Khaleej
- homeAl Nassr1:1
- homeAl Riyadh0:0
- awayNeom0:3
- homeAl Hilal1:5
- awayAbha1:1
Al Hazm
- awayAl Ahli Jeddah1:3
- homeAl Taawon1:0
- awayAl Faisaly0:0
- homeAl Shabab1:1
- awayAl Ittihad2:3
Head to head
- 03/06/26Professional League2:1
- 11/06/25Professional League4:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811
Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:10514
Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415
Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:113Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.