All matches

Al Kahrabaa Club — Karbalaa FC, Iraqi Premier League

Iraq, Iraqi Premier League

Al Kahrabaa Club
LWLDD
—
Karbalaa FC
LLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%29%22%
Al Kahrabaa Club49%Draw29%Karbalaa FC22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Kahrabaa Club49%2.02—
XDraw29%3.47—
2Karbalaa FC22%4.61—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes44%

ours 2.27

No56%

ours 1.79

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al Kahrabaa ClubKarbalaa FC

Al Kahrabaa Club 49%, Karbalaa FC 22%. The safest is “Al Kahrabaa Club or draw” at 78%.

Al Kahrabaa Club 49%Draw 29%Karbalaa FC 22%
1st half
33 · 51 · 16
2nd half
42 · 36 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl Kahrabaa ClubKarbalaa FCCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded1.172.173.34
Corners7.08.57.8
Cards1.70.52.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Al Kahrabaa Club

  • awayAl Shorta0:2
  • homeAl Minaa Basra FC2:1
  • awayAl Zawra'a SC0:1
  • homeAl Gharraf FC0:0
  • awayAl Karkh SC2:2

Karbalaa FC

  • homeErbil SC0:3
  • awayAl Naft Sport Club1:2
  • homeAl Quwa Al Jawiya2:3
  • homeAl Karkh SC1:0
  • awayAl-Karma SC0:2

Head to head

  • 03/13/25Iraqi Premier League1:1
  • 12/06/24Iraqi Premier League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Al Mosul92259:158
17Al Karkh SC821510:147
18Al Kahrabaa Club81436:107
19Al Gharraf FC81254:125
20Karbalaa FC81256:155

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.