All matches

Al Ittihad — Neom, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Ittihad
3.1WWWDW
—
Neom
2.0WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%25%24%
Al Ittihad51%Draw25%Neom24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Ittihad51%1.95—
XDraw25%4.04—
2Neom24%4.18—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.38

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl IttihadNeomCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.170.330.50
Corners7.014.010.5
Cards1.02.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al IttihadNeom

Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 51%, Neom SC 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 51%Draw 25%Neom SC 24%
1st half
36 · 39 · 25
2nd half
34 · 39 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Ittihad

  • awayAl Faisaly3:1
  • homeAl Feiha2:1
  • homeAl Nassr2:1
  • awayAl Fateh0:0
  • homeAl Hazm3:2

Neom

  • homeAl Fateh4:2
  • awayAl Hilal2:0
  • homeAl Khaleej3:0
  • awayAl Riyadh0:1
  • homeAl Qadisiyah0:2

Head to head

  • 04/08/26Professional League3:4
  • 12/31/25Professional League3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Hilal760123:518
2Al Ittihad752012:617
3Al Nassr751116:716
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.