Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Al Ittihad — Al Draih, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Ittihad
3.1WWWDW
Al Draih
2.0DWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%25%22%
Al Ittihad53%Draw25%Al Draih22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Ittihad1.88—
XDraw4.00—
2Al Draih4.55—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl IttihadAl DraihCombined
Goals scored1.170.331.50
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners10.08.39.2
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al IttihadAl Draih
Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 53%, Al Draih 22%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 53%Draw 25%Al Draih 22%
1st half
39 · 39 · 22
2nd half
31 · 42 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Ittihad
- awayAl Faisaly3:1
- homeAl Feiha2:1
- homeAl Nassr2:1
- awayAl Fateh0:0
- homeAl Hazm3:2
Al Draih
- homeAbha0:0
- awayAl Fateh2:1
- homeAl Qadisiyah0:2
- awayAl Ittifaq3:0
- homeAl Kholood1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Al Hilal760123:518
Al Hilal760123:5182Al Ittihad752012:617
Al Ittihad752012:6173
Al Nassr751116:716
Al Nassr751116:7164
Al Qadisiyah751116:816
Al Qadisiyah751116:8165
Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:98Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.