All matches

Al Ittifaq — Al Ittihad, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Ittifaq
2.1DDWLL
—
Al Ittihad
3.1WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%25%43%
Al Ittifaq33%Draw25%Al Ittihad43%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Ittifaq33%3.07—
XDraw25%4.05—
2Al Ittihad43%2.34—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.69

No41%

ours 2.44

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl IttifaqAl IttihadCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners7.810.39.0
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al IttifaqAl Ittihad

Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 33%, Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 33%Draw 25%Al Ittihad FC Jeddah 43%
1st half
32 · 38 · 30
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Ittifaq

  • awayAl Qadisiyah3:3
  • homeAl Faisaly0:0
  • awayAbha1:0
  • homeAl Draih0:3
  • homeAl Nassr2:3

Al Ittihad

  • awayAl Faisaly3:1
  • homeAl Feiha2:1
  • homeAl Nassr2:1
  • awayAl Fateh0:0
  • homeAl Hazm3:2

Head to head

  • 05/14/26Professional League1:3
  • 01/16/26Professional League1:0
  • 04/21/25Professional League2:3
  • 11/30/24Professional League0:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Hilal760123:518
2Al Ittihad752012:617
3Al Nassr751116:716
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.