All matches

Al Ittifaq — Al Hilal, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Ittifaq
2.1DDWLL
—
Al Hilal
3.9WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
16%19%65%
Al Ittifaq16%Draw19%Al Hilal65%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Ittifaq16%6.33—
XDraw19%5.27—
2Al Hilal65%1.53—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.38

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl IttifaqAl HilalCombined
Goals scored0.501.001.50
Conceded0.500.000.50
Corners3.06.04.5
Cards5.01.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al IttifaqAl Hilal

Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 16%, Al Hilal FC Riyadh 65%. The safest is “Al Hilal FC Riyadh or draw” at 81%.

Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 16%Draw 19%Al Hilal FC Riyadh 65%
1st half
23 · 35 · 41
2nd half
22 · 35 · 43
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Al Ittifaq

  • awayAl Qadisiyah3:3
  • homeAl Faisaly0:0
  • awayAbha1:0
  • homeAl Draih0:3
  • homeAl Nassr2:3

Al Hilal

  • awayAl Taawon6:0
  • homeNeom0:2
  • awayAl Shabab2:0
  • homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:0
  • awayAl Khaleej5:1

Head to head

  • 02/13/26Professional League0:2
  • 10/18/25Professional League0:5
  • 04/11/25Professional League1:1
  • 11/08/24Professional League1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Hilal760123:518
2Al Ittihad752012:617
3Al Nassr751116:716
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.