Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
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Al Hilal — Al Fateh, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Hilal
3.9WLWWW
Al Fateh
1.3LLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
81%14%
Al Hilal81%Draw14%Al Fateh5%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Hilal1.23—
XDraw7.09—
2Al Fateh20.49—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl HilalAl FatehCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners7.011.59.3
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al HilalAl Fateh
Al Hilal FC Riyadh 81%, Al Fateh SC 5%. The safest is “Al Hilal FC Riyadh or draw” at 93%.
Al Hilal FC Riyadh 81%Draw 14%Al Fateh SC 5%
1st half
59 · 30 · 12
2nd half
51 · 32 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Goal in both halves: Yes
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Hilal
- awayAl Taawon6:0
- homeNeom0:2
- awayAl Shabab2:0
- homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:0
- awayAl Khaleej5:1
Al Fateh
- awayNeom2:4
- homeAl Draih1:2
- awayAl Taawon0:0
- homeAl Ittihad0:0
- awayAl Faisaly1:1
Head to head
- 03/14/26Professional League1:0
- 11/22/25Professional League2:1
- 05/16/25Professional League4:3
- 01/16/25Professional League9:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Hilal760123:518
Al Hilal760123:5182
Al Ittihad752012:617
Al Ittihad752012:6173
Al Nassr751116:716
Al Nassr751116:7164
Al Qadisiyah751116:816
Al Qadisiyah751116:8165
Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128
Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811
Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613
Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:10514
Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:11316
Al Faisaly70345:133
Al Faisaly70345:13317
Al Taawon70343:123
Al Taawon70343:123Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.