Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
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Al Hazm — Al Nassr, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Hazm
1.8LWDDL
Al Nassr
3.7DWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
14%18%68%
Al Hazm14%Draw18%Al Nassr68%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Hazm7.15—
XDraw5.44—
2Al Nassr1.48—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl HazmAl NassrCombined
Goals scored0.170.170.34
Conceded0.500.170.67
Corners9.014.011.5
Cards1.03.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al HazmAl Nassr
Al Hazm 14%, Al Nassr FC 68%. The safest is “Al Nassr FC or draw” at 84%.
Al Hazm 14%Draw 18%Al Nassr FC 68%
1st half
22 · 38 · 39
2nd half
19 · 33 · 47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Hazm
- awayAl Ahli Jeddah1:3
- homeAl Taawon1:0
- awayAl Faisaly0:0
- homeAl Shabab1:1
- awayAl Ittihad2:3
Al Nassr
- awayAl Khaleej1:1
- homeAbha2:1
- awayAl Ittihad1:2
- homeAl Taawon2:1
- awayAl Ittifaq3:2
Head to head
- 02/21/26Professional League0:4
- 10/25/25Professional League0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Al Hilal760123:518
Al Hilal760123:5182
Al Ittihad752012:617
Al Ittihad752012:6173Al Nassr751116:716
Al Nassr751116:7164
Al Qadisiyah751116:816
Al Qadisiyah751116:8165
Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128
Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811
Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:116Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.