Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.94
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
—
Al Draih — Neom, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Draih
2.0DWLWD
Neom
2.0WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%27%33%
Al Draih40%Draw27%Neom33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Draih2.48—
XDraw3.71—
2Neom3.06—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl DraihNeomCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.170.330.50
Corners8.511.09.8
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al DraihNeom
Al Draih 40%, Neom SC 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
Al Draih 40%Draw 27%Neom SC 33%
1st half
32 · 42 · 26
2nd half
32 · 42 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Draih
- homeAbha0:0
- awayAl Fateh2:1
- homeAl Qadisiyah0:2
- awayAl Ittifaq3:0
- homeAl Kholood1:1
Neom
- homeAl Fateh4:2
- awayAl Hilal2:0
- homeAl Khaleej3:0
- awayAl Riyadh0:1
- homeAl Qadisiyah0:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Al Nassr751116:716
Al Nassr751116:7164
Al Qadisiyah751116:816
Al Qadisiyah751116:8165Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:98Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.