Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.09
No52%
ours 1.91
All matches
—
Sporting San Miguelito — UMECIT, LPF
Panama, LPF
Sporting San Miguelito
1.7WDLLD
UMECIT
2.0WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%31%31%
Sporting San Miguelito38%Draw31%UMECIT31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sporting San Miguelito2.63—
XDraw3.23—
2UMECIT3.22—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSporting San MiguelitoUMECITCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded1.330.501.83
Corners8.010.89.4
Cards0.71.52.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sporting San MiguelitoUMECIT
AF Sporting San Miguelito 38%, UMECIT FC 31%. The safest is “AF Sporting San Miguelito or draw” at 72%.
AF Sporting San Miguelito 38%Draw 31%UMECIT FC 31%
1st half
35 · 46 · 19
2nd half
28 · 43 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sporting San Miguelito
- homeUnion Cocle3:1
- awayVeraguas1:1
- awayIndependiente de La Chorrera3:4
- homeSan Francisco0:2
- awayUniversitario1:1
UMECIT
- awaySan Francisco1:0
- awayUniversitario1:2
- homeUnion Cocle1:0
- awayHerrera3:1
- homeIndependiente de La Chorrera2:0
Head to head
- 08/16/26LPF1:0
- 04/14/26LPF2:2
- 02/07/26LPF2:2
- 10/14/25LPF3:3
- 07/22/25LPF0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
San Francisco1162322:1420
San Francisco1162322:14204
Veraguas1146117:1518
Veraguas1146117:15185UMECIT1144310:916
UMECIT1144310:9166
Tauro1142516:1314
Tauro1142516:13147
Alianza1135311:1014
Alianza1135311:10148
Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:1711
Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:17119
Universitario1125410:1211
Universitario1125410:121110Sporting San Miguelito1125411:1411
Sporting San Miguelito1125411:141111
Herrera1123610:239
Herrera1123610:23912
Union Cocle111288:215
Union Cocle111288:215Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.