All matches

AEL Limassol — Omonia 29 Maiou, First Division

Cyprus, First Division

AEL Limassol
1.8WWLWW
—
Omonia 29 Maiou
0.8LDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
62%22%16%
AEL LimassolMarket 1.6762%DrawMarket 3.8422%Omonia 29 MaiouMarket 4.5416%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AEL Limassol62%60%1.611.67+2.3
XDraw22%26%4.603.84-4.3
2Omonia 29 Maiou16%22%6.234.54-6.0

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74book 1.71

No43%

ours 2.35book 2.02

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAEL LimassolOmonia 29 MaiouCombined
Goals scored1.501.673.17
Conceded1.832.003.83
Corners7.37.87.6
Cards2.72.75.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AEL LimassolOmonia 29 Maiou

AEL Limassol 62%, ALS Omonia 29is Maiou 16%. The safest is “AEL Limassol or draw” at 78%.

AEL Limassol 62%Draw 22%ALS Omonia 29is Maiou 16%
1st half
43 · 36 · 21
2nd half
39 · 36 · 26

Bookmakers: 1.67 · 3.84 · 4.54

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%1.31
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

AEL Limassol

  • awayPaphos2:0
  • homeNea Salamis Famagusta2:1
  • awayAPOEL0:6
  • homeAnorthosis Famagusta2:0
  • awayAkritas Chloraka2:1

Omonia 29 Maiou

  • homeAEK Larnaca1:2
  • awayOlympiakos Nicosia3:3
  • homeKarmiotissa2:2
  • awayDigenis Ypsonas3:0
  • awayOmonia Aradippou1:4

Head to head

  • 03/30/25First Division3:0
  • 12/14/24First Division1:1
  • 08/24/24First Division4:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AEK Larnaca43019:49
2AEL Limassol43016:79
3Omonia42208:28
4Paphos42114:27
5Apollon Limassol41307:56
6Omonia Aradippou41304:36
7Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
8Aris Limassol41214:65
9APOEL411210:74

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.