Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.02
No51%
ours 1.98
All matches
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AEK Athens — Panetolikos, Super League
Greece, Super League
AEK Athens
3.6WDWWD
Panetolikos
1.5LLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
76%18%
AEK Athens76%Draw18%Panetolikos6%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AEK Athens1.31—
XDraw5.61—
2Panetolikos17.04—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAEK AthensPanetolikosCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners10.09.89.9
Cards2.03.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AEK AthensPanetolikos
AEK Athens FC 76%, Panaitolikos GFS Agrinio 6%. The safest is “AEK Athens FC or draw” at 94%.
AEK Athens FC 76%Draw 18%Panaitolikos GFS Agrinio 6%
1st half
55 · 34 · 10
2nd half
51 · 34 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
AEK Athens
- awayVolos New2:1
- awayAsteras Tripolis1:1
- homeLASK1:0
- homeAris Thessaloniki5:0
- awayKifisias1:1
Panetolikos
- homePAOK1:3
- awayPanathinaikos0:3
- awayLevadiakos2:0
- homeKalamata2:0
- homeAsteras Tripolis3:1
Head to head
- 12/14/25Super League5:0
- 11/02/25Super League1:0
- 01/25/25Super League1:0
- 10/05/24Super League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Panathinaikos550012:215
Panathinaikos550012:2152
PAOK540112:512
PAOK540112:5123AEK Athens532013:311
AEK Athens532013:3114
OFI53118:410
OFI53118:4105
Olympiakos53114:210
Olympiakos53114:2106Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797
Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.