All matches

AEK Athens — OFI, Super League

Greece, Super League

AEK Athens
3.6WDWWD
—
OFI
1.9DWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
74%19%
AEK AthensMarket 1.2274%DrawMarket 6.1519%OFIMarket 11.508%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AEK Athens74%82%1.361.22-8.3
XDraw19%16%5.306.15+2.6
2OFI8%9%13.3311.50-1.2

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86book 2.01

No46%

ours 2.16book 1.72

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAEK AthensOFICombined
Goals scored2.331.674.00
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners7.79.28.4
Cards2.01.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AEK AthensOFI

AEK Athens FC 74%, OFI FC 7%. The safest is “AEK Athens FC or draw” at 93%.

AEK Athens FC 74%Draw 19%OFI FC 7%
1st half
47 · 37 · 16
2nd half
56 · 31 · 13

Bookmakers: 1.22 · 6.15 · 11.50

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

72%1.19
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

AEK Athens

  • awayVolos New2:1
  • awayAsteras Tripolis1:1
  • homeLASK1:0
  • homeAris Thessaloniki5:0
  • awayKifisias1:1

OFI

  • homeAsteras Tripolis2:2
  • homeHoffenheim2:0
  • awayOlympiakos1:0
  • homeKifisias2:0
  • awayAris Thessaloniki1:2

Head to head

  • 12/21/25Super League2:1
  • 11/09/25Super League1:0
  • 12/08/24Super League2:1
  • 08/18/24Super League3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos550012:215
2PAOK540112:512
3AEK Athens532013:311
4OFI53118:410
5Olympiakos53114:210
6Panetolikos53028:79

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.