Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
—
Academico de Viseu — Rio Ave, Liga NOS
Portugal, Liga NOS
Academico de Viseu
2.3WWWLD
Rio Ave
1.3LDLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
58%24%17%
Academico de Viseu58%Draw24%Rio Ave17%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Academico de Viseu1.72—
XDraw4.11—
2Rio Ave5.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAcademico de ViseuRio AveCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.672.002.67
Corners7.38.88.0
Cards2.31.53.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Academico de ViseuRio Ave
Academico de Viseu FC 58%, Rio Ave FC 17%. The safest is “Academico de Viseu FC or draw” at 79%.
Academico de Viseu FC 58%Draw 24%Rio Ave FC 17%
1st half
43 · 38 · 19
2nd half
38 · 39 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Academico de Viseu
- awayEstrela Amadora2:0
- homeVitoria Guimaraes2:1
- awayGil Vicente1:0
- homePorto0:3
- awayMaritimo2:2
Rio Ave
- awayAlverca0:1
- homeEstrela Amadora3:3
- awaySanta Clara0:4
- homeSporting CP0:4
- awayEstoril2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Arouca732210:711
Arouca732210:7116
Braga63217:511
Braga63217:5117Academico de Viseu73229:911
Academico de Viseu73229:9118
Estrela Amadora724114:1410
Estrela Amadora724114:14109
Gil Vicente62225:58
Gil Vicente62225:5810
Alverca72239:118
Alverca72239:11811
Maritimo72238:128
Maritimo72238:12812
Moreirense72238:148
Moreirense72238:14813
Famalicao71429:77
Famalicao71429:7714
Vitoria Guimaraes71245:85
Vitoria Guimaraes71245:8515
Nacional71157:154
Nacional71157:15416Rio Ave71155:154
Rio Ave71155:15417
Casa Pia71153:164
Casa Pia71153:16418
Estoril70253:102
Estoril70253:102Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.