Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
—
Academia del Balompie — Real Potosi, LFPB
Bolivia, LFPB
Academia del Balompie
1.2LLWLD
Real Potosi
2.1WWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%26%42%
Academia del Balompie33%Draw26%Real Potosi42%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Academia del Balompie3.05—
XDraw3.91—
2Real Potosi2.40—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAcademia del BalompieReal PotosiCombined
Goals scored1.170.832.00
Conceded2.330.502.83
Corners8.09.28.6
Cards3.42.66.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Academia del BalompieReal Potosi
Academia del Balompié Boliviano 33%, Club Real Potosí 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Academia del Balompié Boliviano 33%Draw 26%Club Real Potosí 42%
1st half
30 · 41 · 29
2nd half
29 · 39 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Academia del Balompie
- homeThe Strongest1:2
- awayBlooming1:6
- homeUniversitario de Vinto2:0
- awayBolivar1:4
- homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose2:2
Real Potosi
- awayReal Oruro2:0
- homeOriente Petrolero2:1
- awayGuabira1:1
- homeReal Tomayapo0:1
- awayAurora0:0
Head to head
- 07/09/26LFPB1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Bolivar20143354:2245
Bolivar20143354:22453
The Strongest20126239:2242
The Strongest20126239:22424Real Potosi2088427:1432
Real Potosi2088427:14325
Oriente Petrolero2093836:2730
Oriente Petrolero2093836:27306
Aurora2079431:2730
Aurora2079431:27307
Guabira2085732:3929
Guabira2085732:39298
Blooming2069530:2227
Blooming2069530:22279
Nacional Potosi2083930:2827
Nacional Potosi2083930:282710
Independiente Petrolero2074927:3525
Independiente Petrolero2074927:352511
Real Oruro20631132:5021
Real Oruro20631132:502112Academia del Balompie20621231:4520
Academia del Balompie20621231:452013
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo20621221:4020
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo20621221:402014
Universitario de Vinto20531226:3918
Universitario de Vinto20531226:3918Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.