Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
—
Omonia — Olympiakos Nicosia, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Omonia
3.8WWDWD
Olympiakos Nicosia
1.8DDDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
79%15%
Omonia79%Draw15%Olympiakos Nicosia6%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Omonia1.27—
XDraw6.57—
2Olympiakos Nicosia16.56—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOmoniaOlympiakos NicosiaCombined
Goals scored1.501.332.83
Conceded0.331.171.50
Corners11.311.811.5
Cards1.51.63.1
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
OmoniaOlympiakos Nicosia
AC Omonia Nicosia 79%, Olympiakos Nicosia FC 6%. The safest is “AC Omonia Nicosia or draw” at 91%.
AC Omonia Nicosia 79%Draw 15%Olympiakos Nicosia FC 6%
1st half
52 · 30 · 17
2nd half
52 · 32 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Omonia
- homeDigenis Ypsonas4:1
- homeCelta Vigo1:0
- homeApollon Limassol0:0
- awayAris Limassol4:1
- homeOmonia Aradippou0:0
Olympiakos Nicosia
- awayOmonia Aradippou1:1
- homeOmonia 29 Maiou3:3
- awayPaphos0:0
- homeNea Salamis Famagusta3:3
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta1:0
Head to head
- 03/15/26First Division5:0
- 12/06/25First Division3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
AEK Larnaca43019:49
AEK Larnaca43019:492
AEL Limassol43016:79
AEL Limassol43016:793Omonia42208:28
Omonia42208:284
Paphos42114:27
Paphos42114:275
Apollon Limassol41307:56
Apollon Limassol41307:566
Omonia Aradippou41304:36
Omonia Aradippou41304:367
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:758
Aris Limassol41214:65
Aris Limassol41214:659
APOEL411210:74
APOEL411210:7410Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:7411
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:9412
Karmiotissa40313:63
Karmiotissa40313:63Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.