All matches

Horsens — Randers, Superliga

Denmark, Superliga

Horsens
1.8DLWLW
—
Randers
1.6LLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%25%22%
Horsens53%Draw25%Randers22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Horsens53%1.90—
XDraw25%4.00—
2Randers22%4.47—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHorsensRandersCombined
Goals scored1.831.333.16
Conceded1.671.333.00
Corners7.611.29.4
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

HorsensRanders

AC Horsens 53%, Randers FC 22%. The safest is “AC Horsens or draw” at 78%.

AC Horsens 53%Draw 25%Randers FC 22%
1st half
42 · 36 · 23
2nd half
39 · 37 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Horsens

  • homeAGF Aarhus2:2
  • awayCopenhagen0:2
  • awaySonderjyskE5:2
  • homeViborg FF2:3
  • homeLyngby Boldklub2:1

Randers

  • awaySonderjyskE2:4
  • homeOdense1:2
  • awayBrondby3:0
  • homeAGF Aarhus2:1
  • awayMidtjylland0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Nordsjaelland952214:1017
5Brondby941412:1513
6Horsens932415:1611
7Silkeborg924312:1210
8Randers931511:1410
9Odense92348:149
10Lyngby Boldklub914410:167

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.