Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.09book 1.74
No52%
ours 1.92book 1.96
All matches
—
Abha — Al Faisaly, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Abha
1.6DLLLD
Al Faisaly
1.7LDDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%28%29%
AbhaMarket 2.0844%DrawMarket 3.4228%Al FaisalyMarket 3.3729%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Abha2.292.08-4.3
XDraw3.613.42-1.5
2Al Faisaly3.503.37-1.1
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAbhaAl FaisalyCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded1.831.503.33
Corners7.26.76.9
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AbhaAl Faisaly
Abha Club 44%, Al Faisaly FC 29%. The safest is “Abha Club or draw” at 74%.
Abha Club 44%Draw 28%Al Faisaly FC 29%
1st half
33 · 44 · 22
2nd half
32 · 44 · 24
Bookmakers: 2.08 · 3.42 · 3.37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 1.5
72%1.61
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Abha
- awayAl Draih0:0
- awayAl Nassr1:2
- homeAl Ittifaq0:1
- awayAl Feiha2:3
- homeAl Khaleej1:1
Al Faisaly
- homeAl Ittihad1:3
- awayAl Ittifaq0:0
- homeAl Hazm0:0
- awayAl Qadisiyah1:3
- homeAl Fateh1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14
Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415
Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:11316Al Faisaly70345:133
Al Faisaly70345:13317
Al Taawon70343:123
Al Taawon70343:12318Abha70255:132
Abha70255:132Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.