Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.60
No38%
ours 2.67
All matches
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Aalesunds — Sandefjord, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Aalesunds
1.6WLWLD
Sandefjord
1.8WDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%24%34%
Aalesunds43%Draw24%Sandefjord34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aalesunds2.34—
XDraw4.25—
2Sandefjord2.96—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAalesundsSandefjordCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.500.170.67
Corners13.010.511.8
Cards3.73.57.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AalesundsSandefjord
Aalesunds 43%, Sandefjord Fotball 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Aalesunds 43%Draw 24%Sandefjord Fotball 34%
1st half
43 · 34 · 23
2nd half
29 · 37 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Aalesunds
- awayMolde2:1
- awayKFUM1:2
- homeIK Start2:0
- awayViking1:2
- homeVålerenga Fotball5:5
Sandefjord
- homeIK Start3:0
- homeViking1:1
- homeBrann0:0
- awaySarpsborg 082:1
- homeKFUM0:1
Head to head
- 05/03/26Eliteserien0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
Sarpsborg 082167824:292510
KFUM21741025:3525
KFUM21741025:352511Sandefjord2065919:2423
Sandefjord2065919:242312
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:432313
HamKam21651029:4423
HamKam21651029:442314Aalesunds2149833:4621
Aalesunds2149833:462115
Kristiansund21541221:4019
Kristiansund21541221:401916
IK Start21441322:4416
IK Start21441322:4416Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.