Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81book 2.33
No45%
ours 2.24book 1.54
All matches
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Gimnasia La Plata, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.0WLLLL
Gimnasia La Plata
2.2WWDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
24%27%49%
AA Estudiantes de Río CuartoMarket 5.6624%DrawMarket 3.4527%Gimnasia La PlataMarket 1.7149%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto4.255.66+6.8
XDraw3.703.45-0.5
2Gimnasia La Plata2.021.71-6.2
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2904 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2896 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2886 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AA Estudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia La Plata
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 24%, Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 49%. The safest is “Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata or draw” at 77%.
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 24%Draw 27%Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 49%
1st half
20 · 40 · 40
2nd half
30 · 40 · 30
Bookmakers: 5.66 · 3.45 · 1.71
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 1.5
55%1.42
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAA Estudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia La PlataCombined
Goals scored0.801.602.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto- Relegation zone: 30th of 30
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
Gimnasia La Plata- Unbeaten in 8 matches2:0, 2:1, 1:1, 1:1, 2:2
- Unbeaten away in 4 matches2:1, 1:1, 1:1, 2:1, 0:4
- Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.6 per match30 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
- homeAldosivi2:1
- awayRiver Plate0:1
- homeRacing Club1:2
- awayBelgrano de Cordoba1:2
- homeSarmiento0:2
Gimnasia La Plata
- homeSarmiento2:0
- awayHuracan2:1
- homeTucuman1:1
- awayIndependiente Rivadavia1:1
- homeBanfield2:2
Head to head
- 04/18/26Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
River Plate331751147:3056
River Plate331751147:30565
Boca Juniors301412445:2654
Boca Juniors301412445:26546
Gimnasia La Plata321661041:3954
Gimnasia La Plata321661041:39547
Independiente Rivadavia30158747:3853
Independiente Rivadavia30158747:38538
Velez Sarsfield301313436:2652
Velez Sarsfield301313436:26529
Instituto Córdoba28145935:2647
Instituto Córdoba28145935:264710
Defensa y Justicia301210838:3446
Defensa y Justicia301210838:344611
Estudiantes301361135:2345
Estudiantes301361135:234512
Lanus30129932:2745
Lanus30129932:274513
Huracan311111932:2844
Huracan311111932:284414
Independiente301110937:3643
Independiente301110937:364315
San Lorenzo de Almagro3110111023:2841
San Lorenzo de Almagro3110111023:284116
Sarmiento301241435:4140
Sarmiento301241435:414017
Barracas Central28109925:2439
Barracas Central28109925:243918
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza301161330:3739
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza301161330:373919
Union de Santa Fe311081344:4538
Union de Santa Fe311081344:453820
Racing Club31991333:3736
Racing Club31991333:373621
Newell's Old Boys308121028:3736
Newell's Old Boys308121028:373622
Talleres de Cordoba31981430:3635
Talleres de Cordoba31981430:363523
Tigre307121131:3133
Tigre307121131:313324
Tucuman307101328:3331
Tucuman307101328:333125
Banfield29871431:3831
Banfield29871431:383126
Platense306121224:3530
Platense306121224:353027
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero29681522:3926
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero29681522:392628
Riestra283141115:2223
Riestra283141115:222329
Aldosivi292101720:4116
Aldosivi292101720:411630
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto28352012:3914
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto28352012:3914Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.