Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.28
All matches
—
Slovacko — Teplice, First League
Czech Republic, First League
Slovacko
0.9DLDDL
Teplice
1.9WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
30%24%45%
Slovacko30%Draw24%Teplice45%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Slovacko3.32—
XDraw4.08—
2Teplice2.20—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSlovackoTepliceCombined
Goals scored0.330.831.16
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners8.39.08.7
Cards1.03.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SlovackoTeplice
1. FC Slovácko 30%, FK Teplice 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
1. FC Slovácko 30%Draw 24%FK Teplice 45%
1st half
32 · 39 · 29
2nd half
31 · 38 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Slovacko
- homeBanik Ostrava2:2
- awayBohemians 19050:2
- homePardubice0:0
- awayViktoria Plzen1:1
- awayMlada Boleslav1:2
Teplice
- awayHradec Kralove2:0
- homeSlavia Prague0:2
- awayFASTAV Zlin3:1
- homeJablonec2:0
- homeZbrojovka Brno0:2
Head to head
- 05/03/26First League1:1
- 12/13/25First League0:1
- 08/16/25First League2:1
- 05/11/25First League0:1
- 03/15/25First League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Mlada Boleslav852117:917
Mlada Boleslav852117:9174
Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
Sigma Olomouc951316:13165Teplice951317:1516
Teplice951317:15166
Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
Zbrojovka Brno951312:12167
Sparta Prague950418:1215
Sparta Prague950418:12158
Jablonec942311:914
Jablonec942311:9149
Hradec Kralove94238:914
Hradec Kralove94238:91410
Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
Viktoria Plzen924317:171011
Banik Ostrava93157:1710
Banik Ostrava93157:171012
Bohemians 190582339:119
Bohemians 190582339:11913
Pardubice92259:148
Pardubice92259:14814
Lisen91267:185
Lisen91267:18515Slovacko90457:164
Slovacko90457:16416
FASTAV Zlin90188:191
FASTAV Zlin90188:191Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.