All matches

Slovacko — Zbrojovka Brno, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Slovacko
0.9DLDDL
—
Zbrojovka Brno
2.0LWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
28%25%48%
Slovacko28%Draw25%Zbrojovka Brno48%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Slovacko28%3.58—
XDraw25%4.07—
2Zbrojovka Brno48%2.10—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSlovackoZbrojovka BrnoCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded1.171.502.67
Corners9.08.68.8
Cards2.41.03.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SlovackoZbrojovka Brno

1. FC Slovácko 28%, FC Zbrojovka Brno 48%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

1. FC Slovácko 28%Draw 25%FC Zbrojovka Brno 48%
1st half
27 · 40 · 32
2nd half
30 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Slovacko

  • homeBanik Ostrava2:2
  • awayBohemians 19050:2
  • homePardubice0:0
  • awayViktoria Plzen1:1
  • awayMlada Boleslav1:2

Zbrojovka Brno

  • awayMlada Boleslav0:2
  • homeLisen2:1
  • awaySlavia Prague0:4
  • homeHradec Kralove1:0
  • homeFASTAV Zlin3:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5Teplice951317:1516
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
11Banik Ostrava93157:1710
12Bohemians 190582339:119
13Pardubice92259:148
14Lisen91267:185
15Slovacko90457:164
16FASTAV Zlin90188:191

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.