Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.55
No36%
ours 2.81
All matches
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Magdeburg — Karlsruher SC, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg
1.8DWLWW
Karlsruher SC
1.7LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%24%25%
Magdeburg51%Draw24%Karlsruher SC25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Magdeburg1.96—
XDraw4.22—
2Karlsruher SC3.94—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMagdeburgKarlsruher SCCombined
Goals scored1.170.671.84
Conceded0.501.832.33
Corners8.311.09.6
Cards2.31.53.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
1. FC Magdeburg 51%, Karlsruher SC 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
1. FC Magdeburg 51%Draw 24%Karlsruher SC 25%
1st half
42 · 35 · 23
2nd half
38 · 34 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Magdeburg
- awayGreuther Furth1:1
- homeKaiserslautern3:0
- awayHertha Berlin1:2
- homeHolstein Kiel2:0
- awayOsnabruck3:0
Karlsruher SC
- homeNurnberg0:1
- homeEnergie Cottbus0:3
- awayHannover 962:2
- homeWolfsburg2:5
- awayKaiserslautern0:0
Head to head
- 03/01/262. Bundesliga1:3
- 09/27/252. Bundesliga0:1
- 02/22/252. Bundesliga1:3
- 09/22/242. Bundesliga2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Wolfsburg632115:811
Wolfsburg632115:8115
Kaiserslautern63216:411
Kaiserslautern63216:4116Magdeburg631211:910
Magdeburg631211:9107
Energie Cottbus622214:138
Energie Cottbus622214:1388
St. Pauli61418:87
St. Pauli61418:879
VfL Bochum62135:67
VfL Bochum62135:6710
Hannover 9662137:97
Hannover 9662137:9711
Osnabruck62139:127
Osnabruck62139:12712
Greuther Furth61329:116
Greuther Furth61329:11613
Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:134
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:13416
Holstein Kiel60427:104
Holstein Kiel60427:104Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.