All matches

07 Vestur — B68 Toftir, Premier League

Faroe Islands, Premier League

07 Vestur
1.3WDLDD
—
B68 Toftir
1.2LLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%26%28%
07 Vestur45%Draw26%B68 Toftir28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
107 Vestur45%2.20—
XDraw26%3.80—
2B68 Toftir28%3.55—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75

No43%

ours 2.33

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1639 matches

Corners

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1637 matches

Cards

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1623 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

07 VesturB68 Toftir

07 Vestur 45%, B68 Toftir 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

07 Vestur 45%Draw 26%B68 Toftir 28%
1st half
39 · 42 · 19
2nd half
33 · 36 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

Metric07 VesturB68 ToftirCombined
Goals scored1.170.832.00
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners10.210.010.1
Cards2.22.34.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

07 Vestur

  • homeEB/Streymur3:0
  • awayVikingur Gota3:3
  • homeKI Klaksvik0:1
  • awaySkala1:1
  • awayHB Torshavn0:0

B68 Toftir

  • homeVikingur Gota1:2
  • homeEB/Streymur2:3
  • awayAB Argir1:1
  • awayB36 Tórshavn1:1
  • homeSkala0:1

Head to head

  • 08/02/26Premier League1:2
  • 05/10/26Premier League0:2
  • 10/19/25Premier League1:1
  • 05/25/25Premier League3:1
  • 05/03/25Premier League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7AB Argir24731432:4424
8Skala24581126:3923
907 Vestur24641424:4122
10B68 Toftir24451525:4817

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.