Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.07
No52%
ours 1.93
All matches
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Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896 — FC St. Pauli, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896
2.4WLDWLFC St. Pauli
0.9DWDLDOutcome probability
462627
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189646%Draw26%FC St. Pauli27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hannoverscher Sportverein 18962.17—
XDraw3.78—
2FC St. Pauli3.64—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHannoverscher Sportverein 1896FC St. PauliCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners11.210.610.9
Cards2.22.85.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896FC St. Pauli10Table position852.00%Possession44.40%7.3Days of rest6.31Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896 look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 46%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Form and context
Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896
- homeVfL Bochum 18482:1
- away1. FC Nürnberg1:2
- homeKarlsruher SC2:2
- awaySV Darmstadt 18981:0
- homeVfL Wolfsburg0:1
FC St. Pauli
- awayFC Energie Cottbus1:1
- homeVfL Wolfsburg1:0
- awayDSC Arminia Bielefeld2:2
- home1. FC Kaiserslautern1:2
- awayKieler SV Holstein 19002:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
1. FC Magdeburg631211:910
1. FC Magdeburg631211:9107
FC Energie Cottbus622214:138
FC Energie Cottbus622214:1388FC St. Pauli61418:87
FC St. Pauli61418:879
VfL Bochum 184862135:67
VfL Bochum 184862135:6710Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:97
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:9711
VfL Osnabrück62139:127
VfL Osnabrück62139:12712
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:116
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:116