Both teams to score
Yes31%
ours 3.22
No69%
ours 1.45
All matches
—
Getafe Club de Fútbol — FC Lugano, UEFA Europa Conference League
Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League
Getafe Club de Fútbol
1.7WLDDLFC Lugano
3.1WWDWWOutcome probability
373627
Getafe Club de Fútbol37%Draw36%FC Lugano27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Getafe Club de Fútbol2.68—
XDraw2.77—
2FC Lugano3.76—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGetafe Club de FútbolFC LuganoCombined
Goals scored0.332.172.50
Conceded0.330.671.00
Corners10.38.39.3
Cards3.73.57.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Getafe Club de FútbolFC Lugano73Table position62.9Days of rest735.00%Possession58.30%3Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour Getafe Club de Fútbol: a home win is rated at 37%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Both teams to score: No
69%
Form and context
Getafe Club de Fútbol
- homeMálaga CF1:0
- awayReal Betis Balompié0:1
- homeReal Club Deportivo de La Coruña1:1
- homeReal Club Celta de Vigo1:1
- awayCA Osasuna0:1
FC Lugano
- awayFC Lausanne Sport4:0
- homeFC Sankt Gallen 18794:1
- homeBSC Young Boys2:2
- awayFC Basel 18933:1
- homeServette FC1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
SK Rapid Wien642019:814
SK Rapid Wien642019:8145
FC København642017:614
FC København642017:6146FC Lugano642013:514
FC Lugano642013:5147
Sporting Braga64208:014
Sporting Braga64208:0148
Riga FC642012:614
Riga FC642012:6149
FK Borac Banja Luka641114:713
FK Borac Banja Luka641114:71310
FC Inter Turku834111:1013
FC Inter Turku834111:101311
KF Drita633014:512
KF Drita633014:51212
FC Midtjylland440011:312
FC Midtjylland440011:31213
FK Jablonec 64029:512
FK Jablonec 64029:51214
Panathinaikos FC633011:812
Panathinaikos FC633011:81215
KS Dinamo Tirana832315:911
KS Dinamo Tirana832315:91116
KS Raków Częstochowa632112:611
KS Raków Częstochowa632112:61117
SK Brann632113:911
SK Brann632113:91118
HNK Hajduk Split431014:610
HNK Hajduk Split431014:61019
KF Shkendija631211:510
KF Shkendija631211:51020
FK Rīgas Futbola skola631210:710
FK Rīgas Futbola skola631210:71021
Motherwell FC631210:810
Motherwell FC631210:81022
FK Austria Wien63128:610
FK Austria Wien63128:61023
KAA Gent62405:310
KAA Gent62405:31024
HNK Rijeka63125:710
HNK Rijeka63125:71025
Tallinna FC Levadia430113:49
Tallinna FC Levadia430113:4926
Apollon Limassol430110:49
Apollon Limassol430110:4927
FC Maxline Vitebsk43017:39
FC Maxline Vitebsk43017:3928
FK Auda Riga43018:79
FK Auda Riga43018:7929
VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius630314:169
VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius630314:16930
Inter Club d'Escaldes42208:28
Inter Club d'Escaldes42208:2831
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC62227:58
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC62227:5832
FC Sion622214:138
FC Sion622214:13833
Hibernian FC62228:78
Hibernian FC62228:7834
Tampereen Ilves62226:58
Tampereen Ilves62226:5835
NSÍ Runavík62228:98
NSÍ Runavík62228:9836
Paide Linnameeskond62227:88
Paide Linnameeskond62227:8837
FC Twente421113:57
FC Twente421113:5738
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi42119:37
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi42119:3739
FC Vaduz42119:47
FC Vaduz42119:4740
Zira IK42117:27
Zira IK42117:2741
Pyunik FC42114:17
Pyunik FC42114:1742
UMF Stjarnan42117:57
UMF Stjarnan42117:5743
Tromsø IL42117:57
Tromsø IL42117:5744
KF Ballkani42117:67
KF Ballkani42117:6745
FC Dinamo Minsk62135:57
FC Dinamo Minsk62135:5746
Bohemian FC62138:97
Bohemian FC62138:9747
FC Dinamo Tbilisi42118:97
FC Dinamo Tbilisi42118:9748
Nõmme Kalju FC42117:87
Nõmme Kalju FC42117:8749
DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda42117:97
DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda42117:9750
SC Freiburg22007:26
SC Freiburg22007:2651
FC Sankt Gallen 1879420210:66
FC Sankt Gallen 1879420210:6652
AS Monaco FC22007:36
AS Monaco FC22007:3653
Ujvara e Malishevës42029:66
Ujvara e Malishevës42029:6654
GKS Katowice42026:66
GKS Katowice42026:6655
Beitar Jerusalem FC42026:66
Beitar Jerusalem FC42026:6656
Qarabağ Ağdam FK42024:56
Qarabağ Ağdam FK42024:5657
Don Denis FC Santa Coloma42027:96
Don Denis FC Santa Coloma42027:9658
FK Liepāja42024:66
FK Liepāja42024:6659
FC UNA Strassen42023:56
FC UNA Strassen42023:5660
M-Perruquers Atlètic Club d'Escaldes42024:86
M-Perruquers Atlètic Club d'Escaldes42024:8661
ETO FC41218:55
ETO FC41218:5562
FC Artsakh41216:65
FC Artsakh41216:6563
Brighton & Hove Albion FC21104:04
Brighton & Hove Albion FC21104:0464
Paphos FC21105:34
Paphos FC21105:3465
Kuopion Palloseura21102:14
Kuopion Palloseura21102:1466
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio21101:04
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio21101:0467
Shelbourne FC41129:94
Shelbourne FC41129:9468
IFK Göteborg41125:54
IFK Göteborg41125:5469
SCS CFR 1907 Cluj41125:84
SCS CFR 1907 Cluj41125:8470
FK Velež Mostar41122:54
FK Velež Mostar41122:5471
Valur Reykjavík41123:94
Valur Reykjavík41123:9472
Debreceni VSC41122:84
Debreceni VSC41122:8473Getafe Club de Fútbol21014:33
Getafe Club de Fútbol21014:3374
Lincoln Red Imps FC21013:23
Lincoln Red Imps FC21013:2375
AEK Larnaca21013:33
AEK Larnaca21013:33