Both teams to score
Yes69%
ours 1.46
No31%
ours 3.18
All matches
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FC Wiltz 71 — US Rumelange, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
FC Wiltz 71
1.2LLLLLUS Rumelange
1.7LLLLLOutcome probability
322147
FC Wiltz 7132%Draw21%US Rumelange47%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Wiltz 713.11—
XDraw4.71—
2US Rumelange2.15—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Wiltz 71US RumelangeCombined
Goals scored0.830.331.16
Conceded2.172.674.84
Corners7.38.88.0
Cards—0.0—
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Wiltz 71US Rumelange15Table position1243.30%Possession43.50%7Days of rest71Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, US Rumelange still look stronger — an away win is rated at 47%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
72%
Form and context
FC Wiltz 71
- awayFC Atert Bissen2:4
- homeFC Progrès Niederkorn1:2
- awayAS la Jeunesse d'Esch1:5
- homeF91 Dudelange1:2
- awayFC Victoria Rosport0:4
US Rumelange
- awayFC UNA Strassen0:2
- homeFC Atert Bissen0:6
- awayFC Progrès Niederkorn0:3
- homeAS la Jeunesse d'Esch2:5
- awayF91 Dudelange2:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:17711
F91 Dudelange82158:157
F91 Dudelange82158:15712US Rumelange82068:236
US Rumelange82068:23613
FC Victoria Rosport812511:205
FC Victoria Rosport812511:20514
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:15515FC Wiltz 71811614:224
FC Wiltz 71811614:22416
FC Swift Hesperange80082:300
FC Swift Hesperange80082:300