Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
—
FC Swift Hesperange — FC Victoria Rosport, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
FC Swift Hesperange
1.3LLLLLFC Victoria Rosport
1.3DLLDWOutcome probability
322246
FC Swift Hesperange32%Draw22%FC Victoria Rosport46%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Swift Hesperange3.10—
XDraw4.53—
2FC Victoria Rosport2.19—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Swift HesperangeFC Victoria RosportCombined
Goals scored0.001.501.50
Conceded3.672.175.84
Corners12.06.79.3
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Swift HesperangeFC Victoria Rosport16Table position1344.20%Possession50.70%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, FC Victoria Rosport still look stronger — an away win is rated at 46%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
70%
Form and context
FC Swift Hesperange
- awayFC Differdange 030:3
- homeFC Résidence Walferdange0:3
- homeFC Etzella Ettelbrück0:3
- awayUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 970:6
- homeUS Hostert0:2
FC Victoria Rosport
- homeFC Etzella Ettelbrück1:1
- awayUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 970:5
- homeUS Hostert0:2
- awayRacing FC Union Lëtzebuerg2:2
- homeFC Wiltz 714:0
Head to head
- 05/17/26National Division3:0
- 12/07/25National Division2:2
- 03/08/25National Division1:1
- 09/15/24National Division5:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
F91 Dudelange82158:157
F91 Dudelange82158:15712
US Rumelange82068:236
US Rumelange82068:23613FC Victoria Rosport812511:205
FC Victoria Rosport812511:20514
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:15515
FC Wiltz 71811614:224
FC Wiltz 71811614:22416FC Swift Hesperange80082:300
FC Swift Hesperange80082:300