All matches

FC Sankt Gallen 1879 — FC Lausanne Sport, Super League

Switzerland, Super League

FC Sankt Gallen 1879
2.5WLLWL
—
FC Lausanne Sport
1.4LLLDL
Outcome probability
652015
FC Sankt Gallen 187965%Draw20%FC Lausanne Sport15%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Sankt Gallen 187965%1.54—
XDraw20%5.03—
2FC Lausanne Sport15%6.66—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.94

No48%

ours 2.07

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC Sankt Gallen 1879FC Lausanne SportCombined
Goals scored1.500.502.00
Conceded2.332.004.33
Corners11.310.010.7
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FC Sankt Gallen 1879FC Lausanne Sport
    5Table position12
    50.00%Possession47.00%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    FC Sankt Gallen 1879 look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 65%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 6.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FC Sankt Gallen 1879

  • awayFC Basel 18933:1
  • awayFC Lugano1:4
  • homeFC Sion0:3
  • awayServette FC2:0
  • awayGrasshopper Club Zürich0:2

FC Lausanne Sport

  • homeFC Lugano0:4
  • homeServette FC0:1
  • awayFC Vaduz1:3
  • awayFC Thun0:0
  • homeFC Zürich2:3

Head to head

  • 02/08/26Super League1:1
  • 11/23/25Super League1:0
  • 08/31/25Super League2:1
  • 03/15/25Super League0:2
  • 01/26/25Super League3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3FC Sion961223:1419
4FC Basel 1893941417:1713
5FC Sankt Gallen 1879941416:1913
6FC Luzern933317:1812
7FC Zürich932414:2011
8Servette FC931511:1310
9FC Thun931515:2310
10Grasshopper Club Zürich922513:248
11FC Vaduz920718:216
12FC Lausanne Sport91357:156

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.