All matches

West Bromwich Albion FC — Blackburn Rovers FC, Championship

England, Championship

West Bromwich Albion FC
1.7LDWWD
—
Blackburn Rovers FC
1.4DWLLD
Outcome probability
452925
West Bromwich Albion FC45%Draw29%Blackburn Rovers FC25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1West Bromwich Albion FC45%2.20—
XDraw29%3.41—
2Blackburn Rovers FC25%3.95—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes38%

ours 2.65

No62%

ours 1.61

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricWest Bromwich Albion FCBlackburn Rovers FCCombined
Goals scored0.501.171.67
Conceded0.331.171.50
Corners11.512.011.8
Cards2.82.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    West Bromwich Albion FCBlackburn Rovers FC
    6Table position16
    50.80%Possession56.00%
    3.8Days of rest3.8
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    West Bromwich Albion FC look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 45%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

West Bromwich Albion FC

  • awayWolverhampton Wanderers FC0:1
  • homeQueens Park Rangers FC1:1
  • awayDerby County FC1:0
  • homeWatford FC1:0
  • homeCharlton Athletic FC1:1

Blackburn Rovers FC

  • awayPortsmouth FC2:2
  • homeMillwall FC3:1
  • homeSheffield United FC1:2
  • awayPreston North End FC1:2
  • awayLincoln City FC0:0

Head to head

  • 04/06/26Championship0:0
  • 08/09/25Championship1:0
  • 02/12/25Championship0:2
  • 10/23/24Championship0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Southampton FC842219:1014
5Wolverhampton Wanderers FC742115:1014
6West Bromwich Albion FC842210:814
7Queens Park Rangers FC834110:713
8Stoke City FC841313:1213
9Bristol City FC841311:1213
10Charlton Athletic FC83327:1012
11Birmingham City FC825112:1111
12Millwall FC832315:1511
13Lincoln City FC83237:811
14Wrexham FC82429:1210
15Bolton Wanderers FC831411:1510
16Blackburn Rovers FC823312:129
17Norwich City FC830516:179
18Sheffield United FC82339:119

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.