All matches

Zalgiris — Suduva Marijampole, A Lyga

Lithuania, A Lyga

Zalgiris
2.8LWDWL
—
Suduva Marijampole
2.6DDLWW
Outcome probability
352936
Zalgiris35%Draw29%Suduva Marijampole36%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zalgiris35%2.88—
XDraw29%3.40—
2Suduva Marijampole36%2.79—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes46%

ours 2.19

No54%

ours 1.84

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZalgirisSuduva MarijampoleCombined
Goals scored1.001.332.33
Conceded1.171.332.50
Corners10.59.510.0
Cards1.80.32.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZalgirisSuduva Marijampole

VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius 35%, FK Sūduva Marijampolė 36%. The safest is “VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius or draw” at 69%.

VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius 35%Draw 29%FK Sūduva Marijampolė 36%
1st half
30 · 45 · 25
2nd half
30 · 44 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

Zalgiris

  • awayTransINVEST0:3
  • homeKauno Zalgiris3:2
  • awaySuduva Marijampole0:0
  • homeSiauliai1:0
  • awayPanevezys0:2

Suduva Marijampole

  • awayHegelmann1:1
  • homeZalgiris0:0
  • awayKauno Zalgiris1:5
  • awayTransINVEST2:1
  • awaySiauliai2:1

Head to head

  • 09/13/26A Lyga0:0
  • 05/10/26A Lyga1:1
  • 03/10/26A Lyga1:0
  • 09/29/25A Lyga3:1
  • 08/07/25A Lyga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kauno Zalgiris30169562:2157
2Suduva Marijampole301511447:2556
3TransINVEST30156951:3551
4Zalgiris301461044:3648
5Banga Gargzdai30138941:2847
6Dziugas Telsiai301281039:4044

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.