Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.60
No37%
ours 2.67
All matches
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VfL Osnabrück — SG Dynamo Dresden, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabrück
1.8DLWWLSG Dynamo Dresden
1.5LDLLWOutcome probability
452629
VfL Osnabrück45%Draw26%SG Dynamo Dresden29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1VfL Osnabrück2.21—
XDraw3.91—
2SG Dynamo Dresden3.42—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVfL OsnabrückSG Dynamo DresdenCombined
Goals scored1.501.332.83
Conceded2.002.334.33
Corners10.011.210.6
Cards2.21.73.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
VfL OsnabrückSG Dynamo Dresden11Table position1741.70%Possession54.70%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
VfL Osnabrück look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 45%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 2.5
72%
Form and context
VfL Osnabrück
- awayKieler SV Holstein 19001:1
- homeHertha BSC1:3
- homeBraunschweiger TSV Eintracht 18953:1
- awayVfL Bochum 18481:0
- home1. FC Magdeburg0:3
SG Dynamo Dresden
- homeHertha BSC1:2
- awayBraunschweiger TSV Eintracht 18952:2
- homeVfL Bochum 18481:2
- away1. FC Heidenheim 18463:5
- homeSV Darmstadt 18981:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
VfL Bochum 184862135:67
VfL Bochum 184862135:6710
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:97
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:9711VfL Osnabrück62139:127
VfL Osnabrück62139:12712
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:116
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:11613
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514
Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:134
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:13416
Kieler SV Holstein 190060427:104
Kieler SV Holstein 190060427:10417SG Dynamo Dresden61148:144
SG Dynamo Dresden61148:14418
SV Darmstadt 189861145:134
SV Darmstadt 189861145:134