Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.87
No47%
ours 2.15
All matches
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VfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
VfL Bochum 1848
1.3LDWLWVfL Wolfsburg
1.4WLDWWOutcome probability
362737
VfL Bochum 184836%Draw27%VfL Wolfsburg37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1VfL Bochum 18482.76—
XDraw3.70—
2VfL Wolfsburg2.72—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVfL Bochum 1848VfL WolfsburgCombined
Goals scored0.672.333.00
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners10.814.312.5
Cards3.32.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
VfL Bochum 1848VfL Wolfsburg9Table position455.80%Possession58.50%6.2Days of rest6.22Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
VfL Wolfsburg travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 37%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 2.5
72%
Form and context
VfL Bochum 1848
- awayHannoverscher Sportverein 18961:2
- homeSpVgg Greuther Fürth1:1
- awaySG Dynamo Dresden2:1
- homeVfL Osnabrück0:1
- awayBraunschweiger TSV Eintracht 18951:0
VfL Wolfsburg
- homeSV Darmstadt 18985:1
- awayFC St. Pauli0:1
- homeFC Energie Cottbus4:4
- awayKarlsruher SC5:2
- awayHannoverscher Sportverein 18961:0
Head to head
- 02/22/25Bundesliga1:1
- 10/05/24Bundesliga1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
1. FC Nürnberg651016:616
1. FC Nürnberg651016:6163
1. FC Heidenheim 1846641114:1213
1. FC Heidenheim 1846641114:12134VfL Wolfsburg632115:811
VfL Wolfsburg632115:8115
1. FC Kaiserslautern63216:411
1. FC Kaiserslautern63216:4116
1. FC Magdeburg631211:910
1. FC Magdeburg631211:9107
FC Energie Cottbus622214:138
FC Energie Cottbus622214:1388
FC St. Pauli61418:87
FC St. Pauli61418:879VfL Bochum 184862135:67
VfL Bochum 184862135:6710
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:97
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:9711
VfL Osnabrück62139:127
VfL Osnabrück62139:127