Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.94
No49%
ours 2.06
All matches
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VfL Bochum 1848 — DSC Arminia Bielefeld, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
VfL Bochum 1848
1.3LDWLWDSC Arminia Bielefeld
1.5DLDLWOutcome probability
462628
VfL Bochum 184846%Draw26%DSC Arminia Bielefeld28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1VfL Bochum 18482.19—
XDraw3.79—
2DSC Arminia Bielefeld3.58—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVfL Bochum 1848DSC Arminia BielefeldCombined
Goals scored0.831.672.50
Conceded1.002.003.00
Corners10.211.811.0
Cards3.01.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
VfL Bochum 1848DSC Arminia Bielefeld9Table position1354.00%Possession46.00%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
VfL Bochum 1848 look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 46%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
71%
Form and context
VfL Bochum 1848
- awayHannoverscher Sportverein 18961:2
- homeSpVgg Greuther Fürth1:1
- awaySG Dynamo Dresden2:1
- homeVfL Osnabrück0:1
- awayBraunschweiger TSV Eintracht 18951:0
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
- home1. FC Heidenheim 18462:2
- awaySV Darmstadt 18981:2
- homeFC St. Pauli2:2
- away1. FC Nürnberg1:4
- homeFC Energie Cottbus3:0
Head to head
- 05/02/262. Bundesliga1:1
- 12/06/252. Bundesliga1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
FC Energie Cottbus622214:138
FC Energie Cottbus622214:1388
FC St. Pauli61418:87
FC St. Pauli61418:879VfL Bochum 184862135:67
VfL Bochum 184862135:6710
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:97
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:9711
VfL Osnabrück62139:127
VfL Osnabrück62139:12712
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:116
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:11613DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514
Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:134
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:134