Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.07
No52%
ours 1.93
All matches
—
US Rumelange — US Mondorf-les-Bains, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
US Rumelange
1.7LLLLLUS Mondorf-les-Bains
2.9LLWWWOutcome probability
1473
US Rumelange13%Draw14%US Mondorf-les-Bains73%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1US Rumelange7.93—
XDraw6.92—
2US Mondorf-les-Bains1.37—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUS RumelangeUS Mondorf-les-BainsCombined
Goals scored1.171.672.84
Conceded3.501.174.67
Corners7.29.68.4
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
US RumelangeUS Mondorf-les-Bains12Table position345.60%Possession49.60%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
US Mondorf-les-Bains travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 73%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 8.5
71%
Form and context
US Rumelange
- awayFC UNA Strassen0:2
- homeFC Atert Bissen0:6
- awayFC Progrès Niederkorn0:3
- homeAS la Jeunesse d'Esch2:5
- awayF91 Dudelange2:3
US Mondorf-les-Bains
- awayFC Résidence Walferdange1:2
- homeFC UNA Strassen1:2
- awayFC Atert Bissen2:1
- homeFC Progrès Niederkorn2:1
- awayAS la Jeunesse d'Esch3:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC UNA Strassen880017:224
FC UNA Strassen880017:2242
FC Differdange 03870118:621
FC Differdange 03870118:6213US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:1118
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:11184
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:717
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:7175
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:516
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:5166
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
FC Atert Bissen850318:1115
FC Atert Bissen850318:11158
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:1015
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:10159
US Hostert832314:1111
US Hostert832314:111110
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:17711
F91 Dudelange82158:157
F91 Dudelange82158:15712US Rumelange82068:236
US Rumelange82068:23613
FC Victoria Rosport812511:205
FC Victoria Rosport812511:20514
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155