Both teams to score
Yes47%
ours 2.14
No53%
ours 1.88
All matches
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UD Las Palmas — Real Sociedad de Fútbol II, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
UD Las Palmas
2.0LLWDLReal Sociedad de Fútbol II
1.5LLWDDOutcome probability
602317
UD Las Palmas60%Draw23%Real Sociedad de Fútbol II17%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UD Las Palmas1.68—
XDraw4.35—
2Real Sociedad de Fútbol II5.72—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUD Las PalmasReal Sociedad de Fútbol IICombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners12.09.310.7
Cards3.03.76.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
UD Las PalmasReal Sociedad de Fútbol II53.30%Possession32.00%11Table position146.9Days of rest7.22Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour UD Las Palmas: a home win is rated at 60%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Form and context
UD Las Palmas
- awaySD Eibar2:3
- homeBurgos CF1:2
- awayCádiz CF1:0
- homeCD Leganés0:0
- awayGirona FC2:5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II
- awayAgrupación Deportiva Ceuta FC1:3
- homeReal Club Deportivo Mallorca0:1
- awayFC Andorra3:1
- homeCD Tenerife1:1
- awayBurgos CF2:2
Head to head
- 01/30/26Segunda División1:1
- 09/12/25Segunda División2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
CD Tenerife73228:911
CD Tenerife73228:91110
CD Leganés73226:711
CD Leganés73226:71111UD Las Palmas731310:1110
UD Las Palmas731310:111012
Real Sporting de Gijón73135:610
Real Sporting de Gijón73135:61013
Granada CF722310:118
Granada CF722310:11814Real Sociedad de Fútbol II72239:108
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II72239:10815
Real Club Celta de Vigo II72238:118
Real Club Celta de Vigo II72238:11816
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol72236:98
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol72236:98