Both teams to score
Yes42%
ours 2.39
No58%
ours 1.72
All matches
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Turun Palloseura — FF Jaro, Veikkausliiga
Finland, Veikkausliiga
Turun Palloseura
1.8LLDDDFF Jaro
1.2DDLLLOutcome probability
592318
Turun Palloseura59%Draw23%FF Jaro18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Turun Palloseura1.69—
XDraw4.34—
2FF Jaro5.61—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTurun PalloseuraFF JaroCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.001.672.67
Corners12.29.010.6
Cards2.02.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Turun PalloseuraFF Jaro9Table position1250.80%Possession42.20%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Turun Palloseura look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 59%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Form and context
Turun Palloseura
- homeTampereen Ilves0:3
- awayIFK Mariehamn0:1
- homeSeinäjoen Jalkapallokerho0:0
- awayIF Gnistan1:1
- homeFC Inter Turku0:0
FF Jaro
- awayFC Lahti1:1
- homeSeinäjoen Jalkapallokerho1:1
- awayTampereen Ilves0:2
- awayIFK Mariehamn0:2
- homeAC Oulu0:1
Head to head
- 06/27/26Veikkausliiga3:2
- 05/02/26Veikkausliiga2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Tampereen Ilves251041142:3834
Tampereen Ilves251041142:38348
AC Oulu251041126:2934
AC Oulu251041126:29349Turun Palloseura2588928:2732
Turun Palloseura2588928:273210
Seinäjoen Jalkapallokerho25591128:3524
Seinäjoen Jalkapallokerho25591128:352411
IFK Mariehamn25451620:4717
IFK Mariehamn25451620:471712FF Jaro25381420:4817
FF Jaro25381420:4817