UEFA Nations League

TurkeyВППВВ
—
FranceППВВВ
1Turkey20%model4.89bookmaker6.52
XDraw18%model5.51bookmaker4.66
2France61%model1.63bookmaker1.51

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:08, 175 мс

Outcome

Turkey20%
Draw18%
France61%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Turkey vs France

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, France still look stronger — an away win is rated at 61%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Turkey

WLLWW
  • homeUnited States Men's3:2
  • homeParaguay0:1
  • awayAustralia0:2
  • awayKosovo1:0
  • homeRomania1:0

France

LLWWW
  • homeEngland4:6
  • homeSpain0:2
  • homeMorocco2:0
  • awayParaguay1:0
  • homeSweden3:0

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Турция vs Франция: prediction and stats — VARstats