Both teams to score
Yes35%
ours 2.86
No65%
ours 1.54
All matches
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Tottenham Hotspur FC — Coventry City FC, Premier League
England, Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur FC
1.8LDDLLCoventry City FC
2.7WLLLLOutcome probability
383131
Tottenham Hotspur FC38%Draw31%Coventry City FC31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tottenham Hotspur FC2.63—
XDraw3.26—
2Coventry City FC3.19—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTottenham Hotspur FCCoventry City FCCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded1.331.673.00
Corners12.28.610.4
Cards1.00.81.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Tottenham Hotspur FCCoventry City FC60.60%Possession39.20%9.1Days of rest720Table position181Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Tottenham Hotspur FC look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 38%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
Form and context
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- homeAston Villa FC2:3
- homeEverton FC0:0
- awayNottingham Forest FC0:0
- homeNewcastle United FC0:2
- awayBrentford FC0:3
Coventry City FC
- awayNottingham Forest FC1:0
- homeBrighton & Hove Albion FC0:5
- awayManchester City FC0:1
- homeHull City AFC0:1
- awayArsenal FC0:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
Aston Villa FC51134:94
Aston Villa FC51134:9417
AFC Bournemouth50326:83
AFC Bournemouth50326:8318Coventry City FC51041:103
Coventry City FC51041:10319
Fulham FC50235:82
Fulham FC50235:8220Tottenham Hotspur FC50232:82
Tottenham Hotspur FC50232:82