All matches

Tauro FC — CD Plaza Amador, LPF

Panama, LPF

Tauro FC
1.6LWWWW
—
CD Plaza Amador
3.2WDDWL
Outcome probability
182953
Tauro FC18%Draw29%CD Plaza Amador53%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tauro FC18%5.55—
XDraw29%3.48—
2CD Plaza Amador53%1.88—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.57

No36%

ours 2.74

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTauro FCCD Plaza AmadorCombined
Goals scored1.671.503.17
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners11.35.58.4
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Tauro FCCD Plaza Amador
    5Table position1
    5Days of rest7
    42.50%Possession59.30%
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Away from home, CD Plaza Amador still look stronger — an away win is rated at 53%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Tauro FC

  • homeSan Francisco FC Panama1:3
  • awayHerrera FC6:0
  • homeCD Universitario1:0
  • awayUnión Coclé FC2:0
  • homeCA Independiente de La Chorrera2:1

CD Plaza Amador

  • awayUnión Coclé FC2:1
  • homeVeraguas CD1:1
  • awayCA Independiente de La Chorrera2:2
  • homeHerrera FC4:1
  • awaySan Francisco FC Panama1:4

Head to head

  • 08/08/26LPF2:3
  • 04/05/26LPF0:1
  • 02/01/26LPF1:0
  • 10/18/25LPF2:3
  • 07/27/25LPF1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1CD Plaza Amador1063124:1521
2CD Árabe Unido1063115:721
3San Francisco FC Panama1062222:1320
4Veraguas CD1036115:1415
5Tauro FC1042415:1114
6Alianza FC Panama1035211:914
7UMECIT FC103439:913

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.