Meistriliiga

Tallinna FC FloraВНВВП
Pärnu JK VaprusПППВН
1Tallinna FC Flora71%model1.40
XDraw15%model6.72
2Pärnu JK Vaprus14%model7.28

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

Open
calculated at 11:05, 230 мс

Outcome

Tallinna FC Flora71%
Draw15%
Pärnu JK Vaprus14%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Model take on Tallinna FC Flora vs Pärnu JK Vaprus

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Tallinna FC Flora: a home win is rated at 71%.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

See plansSign in

What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Recent matches

Tallinna FC Flora

WDWWL
  • awayFC Nõmme United3:2
  • awayJK Narva Trans2:2
  • homeNõmme Kalju FC2:1
  • homeJK Tammeka Tartu3:2
  • homePaide Linnameeskond1:2

Pärnu JK Vaprus

LLLWD
  • awayPaide Linnameeskond0:2
  • awayTallinna FC Levadia0:4
  • homeHarju Jalgpallikool2:3
  • homeFC Nõmme United1:0
  • awayFC Kuressaare2:2

Head to headscore from the perspective of Tallinna FC Flora

  • 08/23/26away · Meistriliiga2:1W
  • 06/16/26away · Meistriliiga2:1W
  • 04/12/26home · Meistriliiga2:0W
  • 11/08/25away · Meistriliiga3:0W
  • 09/13/25home · Meistriliiga3:0W

League table

Таблица чемпионата

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Tallinna FC Levadia28225180:2071
2Tallinna FC Flora281711056:3752
3Paide Linnameeskond29156848:3651
4Nõmme Kalju FC28145949:2647
5JK Tammeka Tartu281421236:4444
6Harju Jalgpallikool291221541:4638
7Pärnu JK Vaprus28941536:5531
8FC Kuressaare29851631:4929
9FC Nõmme United29911947:6828

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.