UEFA Nations League

SwitzerlandВПНВВ
—
SloveniaННПНН
1Switzerland44%model2.27
XDraw28%model3.61
2Slovenia28%model3.55

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 23:13, 121 мс

Outcome

Switzerland44%
Draw28%
Slovenia28%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Switzerland vs Slovenia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Switzerland look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 44%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Switzerland

WLDWW
  • awayFYR Macedonia3:0
  • awayArgentina1:3
  • homeColombia0:0
  • homeAlgeria2:0
  • homeCanada2:1

Slovenia

DDLDD
  • homeScotland0:0
  • awaySweden1:1
  • homeKosovo0:2
  • homeSwitzerland0:0
  • awayKosovo0:0

Head to head — score from the perspective of Switzerland

  • 10/13/25away · WC Qualification Europe0:0D
  • 09/08/25home · WC Qualification Europe3:0W

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Finland11007:03
2Switzerland11003:03
3Austria11003:13
4Lithuania11002:03
5Belgium11002:03
6Armenia11002:03
7Slovakia11002:03
8Albania11002:03
9Norway11003:23
10Spain11003:23
11Greece11002:13
12Montenegro11002:13
13Croatia11002:13
14Sweden11002:13
15Malta11002:13
16Luxembourg11002:13
17France11001:03
18Kosovo11001:03
19Northern Ireland11001:03
20Ukraine11001:03
21Portugal11001:03
22Germany10101:11
23Iceland10101:11
24Estonia10101:11
25Netherlands10101:11
26Kazakhstan10101:11
27Faroe Islands10101:11
28Slovenia10100:01
29Scotland10100:01
30Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.