Both teams to score
Yes42%
ours 2.37
No58%
ours 1.73
All matches
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SV Werder Bremen — SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga
Germany, Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen
1.6WDWLLSC Paderborn 07
2.5WLLDWOutcome probability
342937
SV Werder Bremen34%Draw29%SC Paderborn 0737%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SV Werder Bremen2.95—
XDraw3.45—
2SC Paderborn 072.70—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07Combined
Goals scored1.330.832.16
Conceded1.670.832.50
Corners9.210.09.6
Cards1.01.62.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
SV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 078Table position127.8Days of rest749.20%Possession47.40%1Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, SC Paderborn 07 still look stronger — an away win is rated at 37%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
70%
Form and context
SV Werder Bremen
- homeFC Augsburg3:2
- away1. FC Köln1:1
- homeRasen Ballsport Leipzig3:1
- awaySC Freiburg1:4
- homeBVB 09 Borussia Dortmund0:2
SC Paderborn 07
- homeTSG 1899 Hoffenheim3:1
- awayBVB 09 Borussia Dortmund0:3
- homeSC Freiburg0:1
- away1. FSV Mainz 050:0
- awaySV Darmstadt 18982:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
1. FSV Mainz 05421110:67
1. FSV Mainz 05421110:677
SV 07 Elversberg42118:77
SV 07 Elversberg42118:778SV Werder Bremen42118:87
SV Werder Bremen42118:879
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig42029:56
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig42029:5610
Eintracht Frankfurt41219:105
Eintracht Frankfurt41219:10511
FC Schalke 0441213:45
FC Schalke 0441213:4512SC Paderborn 0741123:54
SC Paderborn 0741123:5413
1. FC Köln41126:94
1. FC Köln41126:9414
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim41037:103
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim41037:103