Both teams to score
Yes67%
ours 1.50
No33%
ours 3.00
All matches
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SV Darmstadt 1898 — FC Energie Cottbus, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt 1898
1.7LWLLLFC Energie Cottbus
1.9DWDLLOutcome probability
372637
SV Darmstadt 189837%Draw26%FC Energie Cottbus37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SV Darmstadt 18982.72—
XDraw3.87—
2FC Energie Cottbus2.68—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSV Darmstadt 1898FC Energie CottbusCombined
Goals scored0.832.333.16
Conceded2.172.174.34
Corners12.313.012.7
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
SV Darmstadt 1898FC Energie Cottbus18Table position740.20%Possession53.30%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, FC Energie Cottbus still look stronger — an away win is rated at 37%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 10.5
72%
Form and context
SV Darmstadt 1898
- awayVfL Wolfsburg1:5
- homeDSC Arminia Bielefeld2:1
- away1. FC Kaiserslautern0:3
- homeHannoverscher Sportverein 18960:1
- awaySG Dynamo Dresden0:1
FC Energie Cottbus
- homeFC St. Pauli1:1
- awayKarlsruher SC3:0
- awayVfL Wolfsburg4:4
- homeSpVgg Greuther Fürth3:4
- awayDSC Arminia Bielefeld0:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
1. FC Kaiserslautern63216:411
1. FC Kaiserslautern63216:4116
1. FC Magdeburg631211:910
1. FC Magdeburg631211:9107FC Energie Cottbus622214:138
FC Energie Cottbus622214:1388
FC St. Pauli61418:87
FC St. Pauli61418:879
VfL Bochum 184862135:67
VfL Bochum 184862135:6710
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:97
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:9711
VfL Osnabrück62139:127
VfL Osnabrück62139:12712
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:116
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:11613
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514
Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:134
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:13416
Kieler SV Holstein 190060427:104
Kieler SV Holstein 190060427:10417
SG Dynamo Dresden61148:144
SG Dynamo Dresden61148:14418SV Darmstadt 189861145:134
SV Darmstadt 189861145:134