Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74
No43%
ours 2.35
All matches
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SV 07 Elversberg — FC Augsburg, Bundesliga
Germany, Bundesliga
SV 07 Elversberg
2.7DLWWWFC Augsburg
1.9LDWWLOutcome probability
472626
SV 07 Elversberg47%Draw26%FC Augsburg26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SV 07 Elversberg2.11—
XDraw3.83—
2FC Augsburg3.79—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSV 07 ElversbergFC AugsburgCombined
Goals scored1.831.833.66
Conceded1.171.672.84
Corners10.412.011.2
Cards1.81.23.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
SV 07 ElversbergFC Augsburg7Table position446.40%Possession42.00%7Days of rest71Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
SV 07 Elversberg look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 47%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
72%
Form and context
SV 07 Elversberg
- awayFC Schalke 040:0
- homeFC Bayern München1:2
- awayBorussia VfL Mönchengladbach4:3
- homeBayer 04 Leverkusen3:2
- homePreußen 06 Münster3:0
FC Augsburg
- awaySV Werder Bremen2:3
- homeBayer 04 Leverkusen2:2
- awayEintracht Frankfurt4:1
- homeFC Schalke 043:0
- away1. FC Union Berlin0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
FC Bayern München431014:210
FC Bayern München431014:2103
SC Freiburg431012:310
SC Freiburg431012:3104FC Augsburg421111:67
FC Augsburg421111:675
Bayer 04 Leverkusen421110:57
Bayer 04 Leverkusen421110:576
1. FSV Mainz 05421110:67
1. FSV Mainz 05421110:677SV 07 Elversberg42118:77
SV 07 Elversberg42118:778
SV Werder Bremen42118:87
SV Werder Bremen42118:879
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig42029:56
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig42029:56