All matches

Sunderland AFC 1:0 Alkmaar Zaanstreek, UEFA Europa League

Europe, UEFA Europa LeagueMatch finished

Sunderland AFC
2.4LWLDW
1:0HT 0:0
Alkmaar Zaanstreek
3.0WLDWW
Pre-match forecastpublished
412831
Sunderland AFC41%Draw28%Alkmaar Zaanstreek31%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.95xG1.19
45Possession, %55
20Shots11
5Shots on target2
12Corners5
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
14Fouls13
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 62 of 87void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Sunderland AFC41%
  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.554%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes52%

    Actual: No — we had 48%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sunderland AFC41%2.43—
XDraw28%3.58—
2Alkmaar Zaanstreek31%3.23—

Form and context

Sunderland AFC

  • awayManchester City FC3:5
  • homeAlkmaar Zaanstreek1:0
  • homeArsenal FC0:2
  • awayBrentford FC1:1
  • homeFulham FC1:0

Alkmaar Zaanstreek

  • homeSC Telstar1:0
  • awaySunderland AFC0:1
  • homeWillem II1:1
  • awaySC Heerenveen3:2
  • homeGo Ahead Eagles5:2

Head to head

  • 09/16/26UEFA Europa League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
31SC União Torreense11002:13
32Olympique Lyonnais11002:13
33Sunderland AFC11001:03
34Red Star Belgrade21014:53
35Sint-Truidense VV21013:43
36MŠK Žilina21012:33
37FC Viktoria Plzeň31025:73
38Shamrock Rovers FC21014:63
39Víkingur Reykjavík21013:53
40FK Kauno Žalgiris21011:33
41FC Sankt Gallen 187921012:63
42FC Universitatea Cluj20200:02
43FC Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
44Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC10100:01
45SK Sturm Graz10100:01
46GNK Dinamo Zagreb10100:01
47Stade Rennais FC10100:01
48FC Twente20113:41
49Rangers FC20112:31
50Kuopion Palloseura20112:31
51KS Górnik Zabrze20111:21
52Larne FC20111:21
53Lincoln Red Imps FC20111:21
54NK Aluminij20110:11
55Hammarby IF20112:41
56Heart of Midlothian FC20112:71
57Real Sociedad de Fútbol10011:20
58Alkmaar Zaanstreek10010:10
59Real Club Celta de Vigo10010:10
60PFC Levski Sofia10010:10

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.