All matches

Sporting Braga 1:0 GD Estoril Praia, Liga NOS

Portugal, Liga NOSMatch finished

Sporting Braga
3.5DWLWW
1:0HT 0:0
GD Estoril Praia
1.4LLDLL
Pre-match forecastpublished
661916
Sporting Braga66%Draw19%GD Estoril Praia16%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.14xG1.02
58Possession, %42
20Shots12
7Shots on target1
4Corners2
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
9Fouls12
3Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 50 of 63void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Sporting Braga66%
  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.564%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 36%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes57%

    Actual: No — we had 43%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sporting Braga66%1.53—
XDraw19%5.40—
2GD Estoril Praia16%6.29—

Form and context

Sporting Braga

  • awayCD Santa Clara0:0
  • homeGD Estoril Praia1:0
  • awayEstrela Amadora1:2
  • awayAlverca2:1
  • homeVitória Guimarães SC1:0

GD Estoril Praia

  • homeCasa Pia AC1:2
  • awaySporting Braga0:1
  • homeFC Arouca0:0
  • awaySL Benfica1:2
  • homeRio Ave FC0:2

Head to head

  • 09/14/26Liga NOS1:0
  • 05/03/26Liga NOS1:1
  • 12/19/25Liga NOS0:1
  • 04/19/25Liga NOS2:0
  • 12/06/24Liga NOS2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4CD Santa Clara743011:415
5FC Arouca732210:711
6Sporting Braga63217:511
7Academico de Viseu FC73229:911
8Estrela Amadora724114:1410
9Gil Vicente FC62225:58
10Alverca72239:118
11CS Marítimo Funchal72238:128
12Moreirense FC72238:148
13FC Famalicão71429:77
14Vitória Guimarães SC71245:85
15CD Nacional Funchal71157:154
16Rio Ave FC71155:154
17Casa Pia AC71153:164
18GD Estoril Praia70253:102

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.