Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.00
No50%
ours 2.00
All matches
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SC Paderborn 07 — VfB Stuttgart 1893, Bundesliga
Germany, Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
2.5WLLDWVfB Stuttgart 1893
2.5LLWWLOutcome probability
282745
SC Paderborn 0728%Draw27%VfB Stuttgart 189345%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SC Paderborn 073.56—
XDraw3.65—
2VfB Stuttgart 18932.25—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart 1893Combined
Goals scored1.171.833.00
Conceded1.172.003.17
Corners9.211.710.4
Cards1.31.52.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart 189312Table position1547.70%Possession52.80%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, VfB Stuttgart 1893 still look stronger — an away win is rated at 45%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Form and context
SC Paderborn 07
- homeTSG 1899 Hoffenheim3:1
- awayBVB 09 Borussia Dortmund0:3
- homeSC Freiburg0:1
- away1. FSV Mainz 050:0
- awaySV Darmstadt 18982:0
VfB Stuttgart 1893
- homeBVB 09 Borussia Dortmund0:1
- awayTSG 1899 Hoffenheim1:2
- homeViking FK3:1
- home1. FC Köln4:1
- awayFC Bayern München1:5
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Eintracht Frankfurt41219:105
Eintracht Frankfurt41219:10511
FC Schalke 0441213:45
FC Schalke 0441213:4512SC Paderborn 0741123:54
SC Paderborn 0741123:5413
1. FC Köln41126:94
1. FC Köln41126:9414
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim41037:103
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim41037:10315VfB Stuttgart 189341036:93
VfB Stuttgart 189341036:9316
Hamburger SV41032:133
Hamburger SV41032:13317
1. FC Union Berlin40134:171
1. FC Union Berlin40134:171