All matches

SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA — FC Rapid Bucureşti, Liga I

Romania, Liga I

SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA
2.5LDLLL
—
FC Rapid Bucureşti
2.5WWWDW
Outcome probability
402930
SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA40%Draw29%FC Rapid Bucureşti30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA40%2.49—
XDraw29%3.40—
2FC Rapid Bucureşti30%3.29—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.84

No46%

ours 2.19

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSC Fotbal Club FCSB SAFC Rapid BucureştiCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded2.000.502.50
Corners10.89.09.9
Cards1.81.83.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    SC Fotbal Club FCSB SAFC Rapid Bucureşti
    11Table position2
    51.50%Possession53.00%
    7Days of rest7
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA: a home win is rated at 40%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA

  • awayCS Universitatea Craiova0:5
  • homeACS Petrolul 52 Ploieşti2:2
  • awayFC Dinamo 1948 Bucureşti1:2
  • homeAFC UTA Arad1:3
  • awaySCS CFR 1907 Cluj0:1

FC Rapid Bucureşti

  • homeFC Argeș Pitești3:1
  • homeFC Voluntari2:1
  • awayFC Oţelul Galaţi1:0
  • homeCS Universitatea Craiova1:1
  • awayACS Petrolul 52 Ploieşti2:0

Head to head

  • 12/21/25Liga I2:1
  • 08/17/25Liga I2:2
  • 04/27/25Liga I2:1
  • 03/16/25Liga I3:3
  • 03/02/25Liga I0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Dinamo 1948 Bucureşti1072123:723
2FC Rapid Bucureşti1063114:621
3CS Universitatea Craiova1062224:920
4ACS Petrolul 52 Ploieşti1061313:1219
5FC Universitatea Cluj950414:1315
6SSC Farul Constanţa1035214:1414
7FC Corvinul Hunedoara1034311:913
8SCS CFR 1907 Cluj941415:1413
9Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe103437:1013
10AFC UTA Arad1033414:1512
11SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA1033413:1712
12AFC Botoşani1025314:1211
13FC Argeș Pitești103256:1011

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.