LigaPro

SC FarenseНПНВВ
—
GD ChavesВПНПП
1SC Farense42%model2.39
XDraw27%model3.71
2GD Chaves31%model3.20

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 11:41, 155 мс

Outcome

SC Farense42%
Draw27%
GD Chaves31%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on SC Farense vs GD Chaves

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour SC Farense: a home win is rated at 42%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

SC Farense

DLDWW
  • awayAVS Futebol0:0
  • awaySporting CP II1:2
  • homeFC Felgueiras 19321:1
  • awayPorto II3:1
  • homeSC União Torreense2:1

GD Chaves

WLDLL
  • homeCD Feirense1:0
  • awayFC Felgueiras 19321:2
  • homeAVS Futebol2:2
  • awaySporting CP II0:1
  • homeAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF1:4

Head to head — score from the perspective of SC Farense

  • 02/22/26away · LigaPro0:2L
  • 09/28/25home · LigaPro0:2L

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
8CD Tondela63037:69
9Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF63038:109
10SC Farense52217:58
11Portimonense SC62134:67
12AVS Futebol61326:66
13FC Felgueiras 193261325:66
14SC União Torreense61327:96
15Amarante FC61235:85
16GD Chaves51135:94
17Porto II61144:134
18CD Feirense60151:81

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.